That’s 20% fewer bits than they suggest. If Piper is going to quote Akamai on that, I suggest they give attribution, otherwise it’s hearsay. There’s no way to completely eliminate risk from your investment portfolio, but it’s important to hedge your bets with surefire winners and make any high-risk stocks you own a less substantial slice of your portfolio. That’s 40% fewer bits than the Piper report suggests. And on top of the lower number, videos delivered to mobile typically take up 70-75% fewer bits than to a TV screen. Web traffic is a secular growth trend that will last for the indefinite future, and the company has continued to add new customers in video, TV, and connected education services, among others. The stock is down 37% from its January trading price. Our downside and upside cases imply 30% and 20% annual pricing declines, resulting in $0.0007 and $0.0016 per GB per month, respectively.” This is way off. At the beginning of this year before the market plunged, the stock was trading at roughly $60. Although the company reduced its debt load in the final quarter of fiscal 2020, its total net revenue was down by 5%. The company reported a $1.1 billion loss in Q2, with oil-equivalent production seeing a 7% year-over-year decline. The raising of $110 million in fresh cash via convertible debt also bodes well for Limelight's chances at further success. This is a small position for me, but I remain unfazed by the market's reaction and plan on adding a small amount more. One year ago, you could purchase a single share of the company for around $40. Disney isn’t looking for “lower cost options”, they want the best user experience they can provide. By using Limelight’s edge compute solutions, which provides access to a range of dedicated physical servers in Limelight Points-of-Presence (PoPs), Katapy can access compute power where and when needed. [90GB per month, per user, at $0.0025 per GB delivered] This is per month, so $24M for the year. Certain risky stocks may be best avoided altogether. It lost more than $1 billion sales during the fiscal year, mostly as a result of the pandemic. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it. Piper is using data that can’t be correlated or compared to today’s market conditions in any capacity. The company’s market capitalization has since plunged to $8.4 billion, while shares have declined by roughly 74% since June. It’s widely known that Disney Streaming Services and CenturyLink have had a great working relationship for a very long time. Piper is using incorrect numbers to make their estimates both on total GB delivered per month, per user, and the cost per GB Disney would pay today, and five years from now. Of all the CDNs, I’m told CenturyLink (formerly Level 3), has the largest percentage of Disney’s traffic as it stands today, based on volume. The stock is down about 80% year to date. What percentage of traffic each CDN will get for Disney+ traffic is unknown, because for Disney, service quality is paramount and they will shape traffic across a multi-CDN strategy based on how CDNs perform, just like they have always done. Akamai is also one of Disney Streaming Services primary CDNs and I expect when Disney+ launches internationally, Disney will use at least four CDNs including CenturyLink, Akamai, Limelight Networks, and Fastly, with the latter two being critical for Disney’s international launch. The wheels have started to come off the internet infrastructure stock party. Having the room to purchase more -- if the thesis isn't busted -- is imperative when the inevitable wild moves ensue. Although the beauty industry isn’t the first that comes to mind when considering sectors most affected by the pandemic, this particular market has been dealt a few blows of its own this year. But using their numbers and the average bitrate per SD, HD and UHD, that most would default to in the market today, (SD 800Kbps, HD 4Mbps, UHD 12Mbps) the total number of bits delivered would equal 158GB per month, or 1.9TB per user, per year. Microsoft may earn an Affiliate Commission if you purchase something through recommended links in this article. ALSO READ: Best Renewable Energy Stocks for 2020. I have personally heard Akamai say they will work hard to try and get as much of Disney’s traffic as possible, but at no time have they implied or suggested that they “expect” to get the “lion’s share”. Especially seeing the pop from Fastly and Cloudflare. Now more than ever before, this reality is particularly evident when it comes to investing in the stock market. Shares of Tempe-based Limelight Networks Inc. dipped by more ... the media services provider says it's continuing to grow its on-demand video services by helping The Walt Disney … Over half of UK viewers cite video rebuffering as the most frustrating aspect of watching video online, with 60 per cent abandoning a video if it rebuffers as many as two times.”. So how is the lion’s share not the majority share? So you have to factor in the percentage of hours each month that a user will watch on a mobile device, something the Piper reports doesn’t include. Piper also suggests that [third-party] “CDNs now provide a lower-cost option compared to the pre-DIY wave“, but that’s not what Disney cares about. They will also have a future in edge computing, which is the next big thing imo. Nicholas Rossolillo owns shares of Cloudflare, Inc., Limelight Networks, and Walt Disney. I think it's worth keeping an eye out. Some OTT providers have suggested that when a service gets to 20M subscribers, that’s the threshold from a size and scale standpoint of when it makes sense to consider building your own CDN. Survey: 65% of UK unaware of Disney+ streaming service, Limelight enhances Video Delivery Services, Analyst: Hulu control completes Disney streaming strategy, Limelight: “High quality sports streaming will deter piracy”, Report: More European than US films make it to VoD, Mandalorian s2 draws 73% more viewers for Disney+, Prime Video unveils new UK series The Rig. They focus mostly on providing video content, but they have a pretty diverse customer base. ALSO READ: These Are the 10 Worst-Performing Stocks in 2020. From reruns of Hannah Montana to the latest Frozen film, fans will expect the same level of content delivery across the Disney library, with no buffering or audio lag getting in the way of the trademark Disney magic. The company also lacks the robust e-commerce presence that has helped other retailers like Walmart or Target resist excess volatility from the pandemic. Steve Miller-Jones, VP of edge solutions and solution architecture at Limelight Networks, offers his take: “At a time when consumers require home entertainment more than ever, this presents an opportunity for them to reconsider which service is best for them, and shave off those not up to scratch. The company’s total second-quarter revenue represented a 52% decline compared with the same period in 2019. The company currently pays a dividend of just under 11%, but its share price has been nosediving and doesn’t appear to be nearing recovery anytime in the near future. Airlines have struggled immensely as travel patterns have shrunk to just a fraction of prepandemic levels. With a growing number of high-quality online video offerings, they’re spoilt for choice, and it’s up to streaming services to find ways to deliver vast quantities of top-notch video content quickly and efficiently to compete.”, “Our research found that over 70 per cent of global online viewers are now subscribing to one or more SVoD service. The post Limelight Networks News: Why LLNW Stock Is Getti… Delta’s total adjusted revenue dropped 79%, with the company burning an average of $24 million every day during the three-month period. With Cronos Group’s retail locations shuttering temporarily and reduced demand for its products due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the company also found itself grappling with stifling impairment charges -- $35 million in the U.S. alone during the second quarter. They built the first OTT video service in the market 17 years ago with MLB.TV and if they wanted to build their own CDN, they could do it quickly and cost-effectively with a great quality of service. Two weeks ago, PiperJaffray put out a report saying that by 2024, the Disney+ traffic business “could result in $68M in revenue for Akamai.” And when combined with traffic from Hulu and ESPN+, Disney could be a “>$100M Media customer by 2024.” I’ve been getting so many questions about these numbers that I thought a blog post that details some of the costs and deployment details would be helpful. InvestorPlace – Stock Market News, Stock Advice & Trading Tips Limelight Networks (LLNW) news for Friday includes LLNW stock taking a beating after releasing its earnings report for Q3 2020. The bitrate for HD on an iPad versus a TV is very different in size so just saying 61% of viewing in HD isn’t detailed enough. “With Disney+ launching in the UK and Europe, expectations are high and fans have been waiting with baited breath. It was on the thin side of management's profit outlay, but it was nonetheless enough to keep Limelight on track for its full-year targets (revenue up 17% from 2019 at the midpoint of $230 million to $240 million, adjusted EBITDA up 74% from 2019 at the midpoint of $28 million to $35 million). With all that said, let’s look at the numbers in the PiperJaffray report and break those down based on the estimates they used. The economic fallout from the ongoing pandemic is lifting the lid on the vulnerabilities of certain companies struggling to weather the drastic peaks and valleys of the coronavirus stock market. It should also be noted that the senior technical team at Disney Streaming Services are behind an open caching initiative via the Streaming Video Alliance and not only helped write the technical spec, but Disney’s CTO for their Streaming Services group sits on the board of the SVA and is the President. Connect with friends faster than ever with the new Facebook app. Shares of Coty (NYSE: COTY), a multinational company that owns more than 70 different beauty-focused brands, have fallen by more than 70% from January. There is a reason why Disney Streaming Services are helping to design and push an open caching initiative, because it would help themselves and others in the industry. So traffic share will shift amongst CDNs based on performance, potentially as often as each day. Data source: Limelight Networks. Backing out non-cash items, though, cash-only gross margin was a healthy 46.1% in Q3. Streaming Media Blog, © 2007 - 2020 by Dan Rayburn, Dan Rayburn | Monday June 24, 2019 | 10:46 AM |, Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window), Detailing Netflix’s Streaming Costs: Average Movie Costs Five Cents To Deliver, « Call For Speakers Opens for NAB Streaming Summit in NYC, Oct 16-17, Survey Of 238 Akamai, Cloudflare and Fastly Security Customers Shows Akamai’s Dominance, Limited Pressure on Pricing », Recap: AT&T, Comcast, Microsoft, Akamai, Fastly, Limelight Q3 Earnings.
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